Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.478597 0.560552 0.650187 0.755217 0.874617 1.005829 1.160621
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.350460 0.459402 0.590107 0.757213 0.963790 1.209309 1.521554
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.257575 0.373193 0.523607 0.730765 1.005360 1.353192 1.822845
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.212062 0.334687 0.505485 0.755605 1.106373 1.573726 2.234914
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.177136 0.302161 0.487299 0.773484 1.194910 1.781130 2.643699
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.157525 0.287661 0.490876 0.819837 1.324551 2.052178 3.157868
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.131457 0.257340 0.464734 0.816222 1.377650 2.215581 3.528873
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109284 0.228964 0.436611 0.804242 1.414096 2.354091 3.869883
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092086 0.205939 0.413440 0.796173 1.453729 2.497616 4.225054
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081366 0.193046 0.405769 0.812634 1.533442 2.707437 4.693945
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.071557 0.179992 0.395658 0.822898 1.602399 2.903273 5.151229
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062488 0.166650 0.382878 0.826232 1.658553 3.080493 5.587532
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055302 0.156333 0.375115 0.839021 1.734278 3.298477 6.109644
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048066 0.144389 0.362275 0.840396 1.789186 3.484705 6.590632
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039610 0.127422 0.335954 0.811161 1.783303 3.563441 6.892019
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036244 0.122973 0.336785 0.838237 1.887882 3.845361 7.561914
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032790 0.117478 0.334320 0.857754 1.978717 4.107285 8.209913
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031417 0.117696 0.345524 0.908413 2.136111 4.501107 9.114094
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027395 0.108934 0.333203 0.904456 2.180410 4.684533 9.644524
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023524 0.099579 0.317807 0.891361 2.203902 4.828820 10.109168
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020373 0.091700 0.304947 0.882540 2.235241 4.989182 10.610493
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018575 0.088078 0.303167 0.900532 2.326515 5.272520 11.358058
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016745 0.083821 0.298907 0.911749 2.403300 5.530702 12.068928